RV shipments will dip for the second straight year in 2019 according to a new forecast prepared by longtime RV industry analyst Richard Curtin of the University of Michigan’s Survey Research Center.
In the Spring 2019 issue of the RV RoadSigns newsletter, Curtin projects total RV shipments will range between 475,500 and 444,500 units this year with the most likely final total being 460,100 units, a dip of 4.9 percent from the 2018 year-end total of 483,700 units. His forecast follows an announcement earlier this week by the RV Industry Association (RVIA) that total RV shipments ended January with 25,540 wholesale shipments, a decrease of 39.8% from the 42,441 units shipped the same month last year.
Curtin believes that the RV market will see a sluggish start to the year with first-quarter shipments being impacted by unusually harsh weather and the federal government shutdown, shifting shipments into the second quarter. He believes robust RV retail sales, healthy RV inventory levels, and strong income, employment and household wealth factors will continue to exert a positive force on the RV market.